A flawed 2021 Census underestimates London’s true population, risking billions in public funding and threatening essential services amid post-pandemic growth and recovery.
London’s looming funding crisis exposes the flawed reliance on 2021 Census data, which undercounts the city’s true population by nearly 300,000—an error driven by the undignified chaos of the pandemic era. With the census coinciding with the third national COVID-19 lockdown, many residents fled the city’s confines, skewing figures and jeopardizing vital public funding allocations.
This misrepresentation risks depriving Londoners of the resources they desperately need. Over £4 billion of government funding for local authorities hinges on these dubious census figures, threatening to slash investments in healthcare, policing, and fire services when the city is again experiencing a resurgence in population and activity. London Councils’ concerns are justified: the pandemic’s unprecedented circumstances, including high numbers of students, migrant workers, and younger professionals temporarily leaving the city, mean the data cannot be trusted to reflect current realities.
What likely began as a temporary dip—estimated at around 75,000 due to migration outflows—has now reversed, with evidence pointing to London’s population surpassing previous records. Yet, the flawed 2021 data stubbornly persists, suggesting a perception of shrinking needs that are, in fact, only increasing. The discrepancy exposes the failure of the government’s outdated funding formulas, which are predicated on a census that no longer corresponds with the post-pandemic landscape.
This situation demands urgent correction. Left unaddressed, the misallocation of funds will only deepen London’s infrastructure and service deficits, undermining the quality of life for residents and eroding confidence in our public institutions. The new government’s complacent acceptance of these flawed figures reveals a concerning lack of oversight and understanding of London’s true needs.
In truth, the official 8.8 million figure grossly underestimates the city’s current population. Policymakers must recognize the critical necessity of reassessing and updating these statistics to reflect the real circumstances. Only through decisive action can we ensure London receives the fair funding it rightly deserves—funding that aligns with its actual demands and supports a thriving, resilient city.
Source: Noah Wire Services
Noah Fact Check Pro
The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first
emerged. We’ve since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed
below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may
warrant further investigation.
Freshness check
Score:
8
Notes:
The narrative is recent, published on 24 September 2025. It references the 2021 Census data, which is current. The article discusses the impact of the pandemic on census data and its implications for funding, aligning with recent concerns. No evidence of recycled content or significant discrepancies found.
Quotes check
Score:
9
Notes:
The article includes direct quotes from Sir Sadiq Khan and London Councils. A search reveals these quotes are unique to this publication, indicating original reporting. No identical quotes found in earlier material.
Source reliability
Score:
9
Notes:
The narrative originates from The Standard, a reputable UK news outlet. The article is attributed to a specific author, enhancing credibility. No signs of fabrication or unverifiable entities.
Plausability check
Score:
8
Notes:
The claims about the 2021 Census undercounting London’s population by 300,000 due to the pandemic are plausible and supported by previous reports. The article’s tone is consistent with typical journalistic standards. No excessive or off-topic details noted.
Overall assessment
Verdict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): PASS
Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): HIGH
Summary:
The narrative is recent, original, and from a reliable source. It presents plausible claims supported by existing data and lacks signs of disinformation.

